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Wednesday, 07 June 2006

Reconnaissance Report - Landslides in Azad and Jammu Kashmir, January 2006
Professor David Petley
 

In January 2006, I was lucky enough to be able to undertake a reconnaissance visit to Azad and Jammu Kashmir, the areas affected by the 8th October 2005 earthquake, which had a magnitude of 7.6.  Here I have tried to present some pictures providing an overview focussing mainly on landslides triggered by this event.

Muzaffarabad

Muzaffarabad is the largest city in the earthquake-affected area.  It suffered extensively from building collapses, especially on the higher river terraces, and a number of large landslides were triggered close to the river.

Image 1: This is an image of extensive shallow rock slope failures on the east side of the city.  In the foreground you can see some of the tents associated with the relief operations in the city - this is an army camp.

Image 2: This was a good quality hotel in Muzaffarabad.  Unfortunately it collapsed somewhat catastrophically and will now need to be demolished.  The woman in the foreground was scavenging wood from the site, probably to burn to keep warm.

Landslides south of Muzaffarabad

Image 3: Landslides also occurred extensively in the sandstones of the Murree formation, as seen here.  Careful examination shows that in addition to the failed slopes there are many others in various stages of progressive failure.  On the left side there is an area that has shown about 5 m of displacement, whilst in the centre left there is an area with a 1 m wide arcuate tension crack.  The behaviour of these slopes during the monsoon will be very interesting.  Note the refugee village on the river terrace - this would be threatened should a collapse occur in the dam at the Hattian landslide

Image 4: Even though it was dry at the time of my visit there were large numbers of landslides occurring throughout the area, especially along the roads.  This landslide was continually active and required clearing several times per day.  Here the very brave bulldozer operators are pictured.  Again, this is going to become a major issue in the monsoon season.

Image 5: Across the whole of the affected area there are vast numbers of tension cracks extending across the slopes for hundreds of metres.  Many of these clearly define incipient landslides.  Most were creeping at the time of my visit.  Again, one must fear for the behaviour of the slopes come the monsoon.  In this picture, an area of such cracks is shown.  The house at the front is on a graben structure.  If you look closely you can see that the house is being ripped in two even though it survived the earthquake.  Note also that it is still inhabited (there is washing on the line).  The house in the foreground is also likely to be destroyed imminently.  Despite this the owners are busy building a new house as shown by the wooden frames.  Unfortunately it is inevitable that their new structure will be destroyed.

Image 6: In addition to the rock and soil slopes there was also extensive collapse of the old uplifted terrace edges.  In many cases the towns are built on these terraces, and often structures have been constructed that use the slope of the edge of the terrace.  Here such a structure is shown - unfortunately it collapsed.  Note also failure of the terrace edge on the other side of the river (in the background).  If you look carefully you will also see where the foundation for a large concrete block that acted as the stay for a small suspension bridge has also failed in the terrace.

Image 7: Across the whole of the area affected by the earthquake shallow rockslides have been triggered on the steeper slopes, especially where cutting has been undertaken as a result of road construction.  These slides are now causing major problems for communication.  Here, one of the small, high level roads has been blocked by such a rockslide.

Image 8: The largest slide in the earthquake zone is the Hattian rock avalanche.  This is the large slide identified on satellite imagery by, for example, Roger Bilham (see: Hattian landslide).  This is valley-blocking landslide has an estimated volume of over 200 million m3 and a runout distance of about 2.5 km.  It has blocked the valley to a height of about 250 m.  Two lakes are forning at the time of writing.  This view is from the side of the landslide.  Note that then slide has used a plunging syncline as the shear surface.  To the right of the picture can be seen a set of boulders that spilled out of the slide area.  Careful examination of the montage means that the deposit can be seen in the valley.  The lakes would seem to represent a serious danger in the (likely) event of rupture.

Image 9: A slightly better view of the deposit from the Hattian landslide.  Note the smaller of the two lakes visible - this lake is close to breaching the deposit.  The large, much more dangerous lake is off-screen to the right.  Note also the clear evidence for large-scale post-deposition slope failures in the deposit.  It is assumed that these occurred shortly after deposition.

Image 10: The sad remains of a ruined school on the slopes adjacent to the Hattian landslide.  This building collapsed during the earthquake, killing 34 children.  These slopes, which are located above the larger lake at Hattian, are massively sheared and cracked, posing a real threat of collapse come the monsoon season.  This is a dangerous situation in light of the lake below.

Landslides north of Muzaffarabad

Image 11: This image shows the very large rockslope failures in the river upstream of Muzaffarabad.  These failures were triggered by the earthquake - the fault runs at the base of the slope in the middle distance and then through the terraces on the right.  The area of white water just visible is the location at which the fault crosses the river.  Note the dust in the air at the top of the slope, caused by ongoing rockfall activity.  These slopes are clearly visible at the top right of the Space Imaging satellite image - see: Space Imaging.

Image 12: Near to Balakot there are very large numbers of people living in tented villages.  Unfortunately a number of these are located an alluvial fans, such as this one.  Note the extensive new shallow rockslope failures in the catchment areas,  Many of the slopes here also show profound levels of distress, with extensive, large head and laterial scarps.  This situation seems very dangerous in light of the forthcoming rainy season - the conditions would seem ideal for debris flows (lots of new slope failures and excess stores of sediment). Thus, these camps are in great danger.

Image 13:  Even in the dry season keeping the roads open is a major challenge.  These are falls along one of the main roads close to Muzarrarabad.  These falls occurred overnight in dry weather.  The impact on the local people is profound.  One fears for conditions come the rainy season.

 

Balakot

Image 14:  The historic town of Balakot has been effectively obliterated by the earthquake.  This image shows the historic centre of the town on a small hill.  The whole town has been demolished, with scarcely a building left standing.  Discussions continue in Pakistan as to whether rebuilding this town is viable in its current location.

This page was compiled by Professor David Petley of the International Landslide Centre at the University of Durham.  Please contact me for any further information or assistance.

Postal address: Professor David Petley, International Landslide Centre, Department of Geography, Science Laboratories, Durham DH1 3LE, United Kingdom
Telephone: +44 191 334 1909
Fax: +44 191 334 1801
Email: d.n.petley@durham.ac.uk

 

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